Fiskeri og oppdrett

nike
01.02.2018 kl 13:43 15266

Stort volum presser fortsatt spotprisen.

"Salmon price NOK 50/EUR 5.2 next week (-3)

We expect the salmon price for next week to be around NOK 50/kg, which is NOK 3/kg lower than our estimate for this week. The spot price next week will then be NOK 13.2/kg lower than the corresponding week last year (-21%), and in EUR the price will be EUR 1.9/kg lower (-26%). Export volumes were 23,276 tonnes last week, which is 18% above the corresponding week last year. Compared to last year, YTD export volumes are up 17% and export prices in EUR are down 27%.

Salmon and white fish prices

Spot prices FCA Oslo
Last week: Reported at NOK 54.0/kg (PAS est. NOK 53/kg)
This week: We expect NOK 53/kg (prev. est. NOK 54/kg)
Next week: We expect NOK 50/kg

Fishpool forward prices:
2018: NOK 53.7/kg (-0.2/kg from last week)
2019: NOK 56.4/kg (-0.1/kg from last week)

US prices:
Miami: USD 10.6/kg fillets (+0.1/kg from last week)
Seattle: USD 8.6/kg (+0.4 from last week)

French retail price for salmon fillets EUR 18.5/kg in week 3, +11% from the week before and -11% from corresponding week last year

Trout price NOK 57.1/kg last week, +1.1/kg from the week before and -15.2/kg from the corresponding week last year

Cod price NOK 31.8/kg last week, +0.3/kg from the week before and +NOK 3/kg from the corresponding week last year

Pareto salmon spot price estimates for 2018-2020e
2018e: NOK 56/kg (EUR 5.8/kg)
Q1 18e: NOK 55/kg (EUR 5.7/kg) (QTD NOK 52.8/kg (EUR 5.5/kg))
Q2 18e: NOK 56/kg (EUR 5.8/kg)
Q3 18e: NOK 55/kg (EUR 5.7/kg)
Q4 18e: NOK 57/kg (EUR 5.9/kg)
2019e: NOK 60/kg (EUR 6.4/kg)
2020e: NOK 61/kg (EUR 6.5/kg)"

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