Details on - NW OML141 RSC (Barracuda etc)

MarketGunsling
ZENA 17.11.2021 kl 11:40 32171

NW OML141 RSC is the NW section of license OML141 (Oil Mining License) which is a mining oil license in Nigeria that coversn1,295 km2 in the swamp/shallow waters (depth of less than 25 meters) of the Niger Delta in Nigeria.

ONL141 has an interesting history. It started life as OPL229 (Oil Prospecting License) and 38% of this was originally “bought” by the Chinese state China Export and Credit Insurance Corporation (SINOSURE) in January 2005 who put is into a SPV called Aerd Projects Nigeria Ltd. Less than 16 months later in April 2006 they sold this to the China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) for $60 million. They also put an $80 million loan into the projects, spent about $16 million on seismic and drilled two wells (Barracuda in April 2007 and Dila later the same year). Both wells were described by CNOOC as “significant finds” but they did not give any reserve figures.

In August 2008 CNOOC surprised the O&G industry by returning its stake in OML141 to the operator Emerald Energy Resources. When asked why they did this they would only say “There are many blocks we are working on. We move in and out -- it’s very normal. But I can’t comment on any specific block,” however subsequent events have made it clear that this was to do with fears about corruption rather than worries about the block itself. Chinese media reported in April 2008 that SINOSURE’s chief, Tang Ruoxin, was under government investigation on charges of unspecified illegal activities and in 2010 he was sentenced to 14 years in prison for taking bribes. Given that Sinosure paid $30 million for their 38% in 2005 and sold it for $60 million in 2006 you can see why CNOOC may have wanted to get rid of this asset before anyone in the Chinese govt looked too much into why they paid double for this asset and what happened to the money…

Emerald Energy Resources then got involved in a $60 million court case with Sinosure in 2018 https://www.oeclaw.co.uk/images/uploads/documents/China_Export_Judgment.pdf and then had to give back the ONL141 license to the Nigerian government in 2019 due to non-payment of fees https://africaoilgasreport.com/2019/04/farm-in-farm-out/nigerian-government-revokes-licences-of-seven-oil-blocks/ however, over this time NW ONL141 appears to have becaome a license in its own right.

NW ONM141 Zenith is the North West 105 square kilometers of OML141. This area is completely onshore in the marshland as opposed to the actual offshore area and according to their website Noble Hill Network Limited have a risk-service contract executed that means that they will be the exclusive service provider and will provide funding and develop the Northwest 105 square kilometres of OML 141.

We know from Zenith’s RNS of August 31st that NW OML141 contains two discovered fields (Elepa South and Barracuda) which are “drill-ready” and that there is one prospective field that has an estimated 232.7 million barrels of oil. The also say that this has the potential to grow to more than 500 million barrels of Contingent and Prospective Resources with several TCF of prospective natural gas and condensate.

We also know that ADM said in their 18th April 2021 RNS that the first drill target (that they were aiming at when they still had the rights to the asset) was targeting production of 4,000bopd. They claimed that drilling six wells would target production of 23,000bopd and they also gave the details that the opex figure per barrel of oil in this region was $20 per barrel but this could be reduced down to $12 per barrel if the company develops a 12mk pipeline to the Brass Export Terminal. All of this can be seen at: https://www.lse.co.uk/rns/ADME/completion-of-barracuda-field-transaction-whzmetdfm0mtiqe.html

So clearly the license has great potential. Back in 2006 CNOOC bought Total’s OML-130 block which had recoverable reserves of 600 million barrels for $2.69 billion, and while the NW OML141 is not likely to yield anywhere as much as this, proving up recoverable reserves of 100 million barrels would still be worth hundreds of millions and be life-changing for Zenith and it’s investors.

We have an idea of what it will cost to get hold of a share in the RSC as ADM paid $1.3 million for what they thought was a 35% stake.

We know that there are two well-sites that are ready to go and if the funds and rig were in place then it would be possible to drill before the end of the year (but more realistically this will be in Q1 or Q2 next year).

We also know from AC’s comments in the conference call that we should expect news on this in early December

What we don’t know is:

1) How much of a share the RSC itself gives of the asset as Emerald resources are still marked down as the operator. What exactly doe the RSC give us?
2) How much money we are likely to have to put in to complete the drill.
3) Any details about the previous discovery that was made in Barracuda.
4) Any information about the CPR that ADM have supposedly been working on for the last 6 months.

Hopefully, this will be cleared up when we get the announcement that we have come to a deal with NHNL over the license. This definitely looks like it could be the “big one” that AC promised us a few conference calls ago.

Herman*
19.11.2021 kl 13:26 4112

The point is not that Zenith will fail in Nigeria. The point is that you think they will sign a binding agreement the day after the deadline for due dilligence. If AC desperately wants an agreement immidiately, they can start with an MOU.
Slettet bruker
19.11.2021 kl 13:08 4036

AC was in Dubai at the time of IC and ADME also took help of Dubai Bridge Investments.
HE Zubair Al Zubair, Chairman of Dubai Bridge Investments, said:
"We partnered with ADM at the end of last year because their strategy aligned with our own of seeking out investment opportunities in the energy sector in Africa. The Barracuda Field, an attractive near-term production asset with significant potential upside, is the type of excellent opportunity we envisioned when we first decided to collaborate with ADM. Our planned financial backing combined with ADM's extensive contacts and breadth of experience of the region and the oil and gas industry forms a formidable partnership and we look forward to building a long-term relationship.
SørenE
19.11.2021 kl 12:44 4014

Hej Norge

Hermann: point herfra, meget hausing fra Viking, uanset RNS eller ej bliver aftaler skudt ud i fremtiden
Bare se på Congo og Tunisia -- vil se en aftale 30. nov i Nigeria før jeg tror på noget

Er ved at kaste opo over den seddelpresse AC har gang i -- han skulle få nogle aftaler igennem så han for de indfrosne kapital fri for oliesalg og opfront licens aftaler.
så han kan stoppe seddelpressen.

I modsætning til Hermann har jeg en del aktier hvor overskuddet er forsvundet efter den sidste monster emission.
Mit apotek har nu udsolgt af tålmodighedscreme :-)

God weekend

Dansken
Redigert 19.11.2021 kl 12:45 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
19.11.2021 kl 12:25 4060

people should read RNS carefully and do there kite flying after that
here is written clearly
"NHNL plans to commence drilling activities before the close of 2021 and start production through an Early Production Facility shortly thereafter. "

here is the line clearly mentioned % to be purchased by Zenith.

"Under the terms of the Exclusivity, Zenith has a period of 90 days during which to conduct due diligence and to evaluate the opportunity to participate in the RSC via the potential purchase of an equity stake in NHNL, the sole holder of the RSC. "
Slettet bruker
19.11.2021 kl 12:02 4109

He already completed 4 IC for 2021. There is no point to take IC after every deal. He is entering into (RSA) and it is with company and not with Nigerian Govt. Why AC will take 90 days to just decide go further or not without knowing % and financing, we will get something concrete in RNS.
Redigert 19.11.2021 kl 12:06 Du må logge inn for å svare
Cat349e
19.11.2021 kl 11:58 4096

Er det egentlig?
Skulle da ikke være nødvendig å foreta IC for å fortelle at de har inngått avtalen? De har jo alt meldt ut fremtiden/planene dersom de aksepterer....?
Herman*
19.11.2021 kl 11:44 4095

If you think that the deal will be finalized in the beginning of Dec, its strange that AC plans the next IC sometime next year.
Slettet bruker
19.11.2021 kl 11:03 4125

They are in talk from last March 2021 to evaluate the field and there is clear deadline from Nigerian government regarding exploration/ drilling otherwise field will be revoked so no one in mood of delayed specially AC. My prediction is they will come with % and finance. AC already told 10000bopd with considering some % in field.
Herman*
19.11.2021 kl 10:04 9636

I think you are missing my point. There may or may not be an RNS on December 1, but you are categorical about the date even if you are usually wrong about your predictions. You also wont answer my question with regards to what may be the content of such an RNS. Personally, I think there may be an RNS some time in early December, saying that Zenith has completed due dilligence and would like to proceed with negotiations. This would be a good start, with a deal potentially finalized sometime next year.
Slettet bruker
19.11.2021 kl 09:47 9703

Antall eier av Zenith aksjer hos Nordet har gått ned fra 1363 til 1 312
Zenith har heller ikke besvart forespørsel på mail om innsyn i aksjeeier boken
Slettet bruker
19.11.2021 kl 09:23 9779

Hadde jeg hatt ledig cash hadde jeg tatt de 4,5 millioner på 11,17 øre nå.
Slettet bruker
19.11.2021 kl 09:21 9794

Noen som har topp 20/ topp 100 liste?
Slettet bruker
19.11.2021 kl 09:14 9807

https://newsweb.oslobors.no/message/541228
you are free to interpret as your wish.
i will focus on following
"This opportunity is in line with our strategy of identifying assets, which are ‘drill-ready’ and with significant near-term production potential, that will position the Company to achieve its goal of becoming an oil and gas company with a well-balanced portfolio producing more than 10,000 bopd.”

Herman*
19.11.2021 kl 09:07 9832

How do you know there will be an announcement on Dec 1? What will be the content of this RNS?
Slettet bruker
19.11.2021 kl 09:01 9858

I am not writing in air, all dates based on RNS published by company and share trading data available on trading platform. my next date is 30th Nov half year report and 1st Dec Nigeria announcement. I am not missing dates company is missing date as i got info Tilapia will be announce before summer end but company missed the time frame. SLK long stop dates given by company and its depends on CCH meeting in Tunisia now we know the link where we can find out minutes of meeting in Arabic.
Regarding short - 30million sold by someone in 5million block in hidden volume and trading number and pattern confirms it.
Hidden Volume - you can see it on e24 before 9 am or 16.20 to 16.24 if it is first order in line also from 9am to 16.20pm you can detect it in trading pattern.
also I am confirming Zenith will enter agreement into Nigeria as per all hints from IC only thing is % of share. 20% will value zenith kr1 with 1.8 billion shares.
Redigert 19.11.2021 kl 09:10 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
18.11.2021 kl 22:57 10099

Haleluja - kurt nilsen

Fra spøk til alvor, absolutt ingen som vet når avtaler blir signert. Ikke engang AC. Så dette kan ta veeeeldig lang tid, middels lang tid, eller kort tid 😂

Blir dog ikke sjokkert om det tar en 10 år+ før tilapia kommer. Opererer jo med sneglefart i disse landene, er en grunn de er 1000 år bak andre land.
Herbius
18.11.2021 kl 19:47 10295

Det tror jeg nu heller ikke 🙈🙈

Men at folk skak købe aktier efter hvad der bliver skrevet her på dette site, har jeg nu lidt tro på 😴😴
Eller det håber jeg da så sandelig ikke 🥲

Herman du har misset det pointen ved at handle aktie, de er bygget på drømme og derfor er det spændende at følge 😃
Herman*
18.11.2021 kl 18:43 10379

Bevise? Viking skriver daglige eventyr om at aksjen shortes, at noen bevisst manipuler den ned, at alt ordner seg innen x dato. Les historikken. Dette gavner ikke dere som er aksjonærer, folk som stikker innom tråden må jo tro at enkelte har fått solstikk. Det går sakte med Zenith, men går i det minste fremover. Spesielt positivt er at de har hatt operasjonell suksess i Tunisia. Selv om jeg ikke har aksjer, gidder jeg ikke å ødelegge min troverdighet bare for å kunne rakke ned på et selskap. Jeg er lettere kritisk til alle selskaper, uavhengig av posisjon. Om jeg kjøper meg inn i Zena noen gang vil tonen være den samme. Ellers så savner jeg også Aqualight. Han er positiv uten å ty til fantasifull haussing.
Redigert 18.11.2021 kl 19:05 Du må logge inn for å svare
Herbius
18.11.2021 kl 18:14 10434

Det eneste jeg pointere er at, Herman angriber Viking, som har aktier her, Og Herman ikke.

Tror du Herman havde smidt det indlæg hvis aktien var steget 50 -100 % på dagen..

Hvis det havde været løgn det Viking skrev, havde det været noget andet. 🙈🙈
Men så må Herman eller i andre jo komme med noget Fakta det beviser Viking har fejl ??????
Jeg venter spændt 😃😃

Viking har været super optimist, og det er der vel ikke noget galt i, Men han har lært ar Ting tager Tid, det skal i andre nok også lærer på et tidspunkt 👍😃
Tetro
18.11.2021 kl 17:16 10520

Veldig glad for at Herman følger med. Innleggene hans er veldig informative og nyanserte. I positiv og negativ retning. Viktig at aksjonærene har mulighet til å se hele bildet. Ikke alle har mulighet til å grave og lete etter nyheter som andre har. Vi har et forum for å få alle vinklinger på et selskap. Vikings inlegg har svært mye å god informasjon men bommer jo totalt på alle datoer. Da trenger ikke du komme med sure oppgulp hver gang noen stiller spørsmål som du føler er negative.
P.S har vært med mye lengre enn du tror.
Barneskirenn
18.11.2021 kl 16:40 10610

Jeg har ikke kommentert om Viking, hvis det er han du hinter til. Syntes det er bra at noen har tid og kompetanse til å grave frem all informajsonen de kommer med (Aqualight, Viking, MarketGunsling m.fl.). Noe jeg ikke har mulighet til.
Herman*
18.11.2021 kl 16:35 10621

Som sagt er jeg ikke negativ til Zena. Tror ikke den går under 9-10 øre om det ikke skjer noe veldig negativt. Oppsiden er selvsagt betydelig, selv om jeg synes det er mest fornuftig å snakke om 20-30 øre før en snakker om kroner. Har ikke sagt noe negativt om Nigeria eller Tilapia. Alle skjønner at det er to kursdrivende avtaler som antagelig landes i løpet av vinteren. Det som provoserer meg grenseløst er alt snakk om at aksjen går til himmels innen x dato, og så flytter en bare datoene noen uker i slengen. Til slutt blir det så mye ulv ulv, at en ødelegger for alle de seriøse aksjonærene.
Herbius
18.11.2021 kl 16:31 10643

Muligt du synes det, men i forhold til dig og Herman kommer han da med konstruktive ting ang aktien han har aktier i.

Har du fundet noget som helst ang aktien ???
Du stiller spørgsmål som en hver mand der er i aktien ved.
Barneskirenn
18.11.2021 kl 16:23 10667

Herbius, nå får du gi deg. Jeg mener Herman* er, og har vært, ganske konstruktiv i sine innlegg. Men i dine øyne, så er det KUN positive hause-innlegg som har verdi.
Er så drit lei å lese meningsløse hauseinnlegg (dog også baiseinnlegg) dag inn og dag ut. Selv om man står uten eller med aksjer, bør man kunne komme med konstruktive "negative" kommentarer uten at du Herbius, og resten av hause-kompaniet hyler.

Ps. Herbius; vi trenger flere emojier på innleggene. Flere raktett-, pengesekk-, og gråtele-emojier. Bare å smøre på.
Herbius
18.11.2021 kl 15:44 10657

Herman:

Han finder i det mindste konstruktive ting ang aktien, i forhold til dig 👍👍

Tror nok folk her sagtens selv kan vurdere hvad som er godt og skidt 👍
Furuen
18.11.2021 kl 15:16 10708

How can the volume be hidden, if you can see it?
Herman*
18.11.2021 kl 12:05 10858

I know a thing or two about valuations and I have read the transcript, but I also know that you keep spamming with non stop bs, which is actually undermining the Zenith investment case. I may not be a shareholder, but I am not negative to Zenith as the downside risk is limited.
Aldara
18.11.2021 kl 11:58 10878

I believe that Viking when I see it! Not a second before!
Slettet bruker
18.11.2021 kl 11:54 10896

it is just few days more course will bounce back, will never reach 10 øre again.
Gullit
18.11.2021 kl 11:48 10894

Ikke vits å se på kursen her før Nyheter, om du ikke skal kjøpe mer da….
C-Eiken
18.11.2021 kl 09:27 11026

Snart 25% fald siden 25 oct. :(
Slettet bruker
18.11.2021 kl 09:11 11077

Alert ..............0.1140 -200k (hidden volume of 1.8 million )
Slettet bruker
18.11.2021 kl 04:43 11270

I know you are out of zenith from last few months. If you don't know how last time valuation done for zenith or other oil companies please go through it. Check last IC transcript available here on this forum. We will see what will come on 1st Dec max or may be in next week about % and finances in RNS about Nigeria deal. Many things will get clear in 30st Nov Half year report.
Hektor
17.11.2021 kl 23:13 11407

... Holder en lav profil, selvfølgelig kan melding komme når som helst.
Redigert 17.11.2021 kl 23:14 Du må logge inn for å svare
Hektor
17.11.2021 kl 22:55 11455

Dette ble sagt for 1 uke siden:
I am travelling to Congo in the next 10-15 days and I will be able to report factual developments when we are face to face with the hydocarbons ministry. I am confident that there will be news before the next investor call but it is not our lack of pushing or being out of favour with the ministry.
Herman*
17.11.2021 kl 22:39 11501

How can you calculate a future market cap/fair value when you do not know the terms of such an agreement in Nigetia? I am not saying anything about this license because I do not know enough to have an opinion. From what I understand, Zenith has the exclusive right to do due dilligence on the asset, and that by the end of the month, they have to inform their counterpart if they wish to proceed to negotiations. Negotiations and financing options go hand in hand, and I guess that 1-4 months later the matter should come to a conclusion. I also read somewhere that Tilapia is expected before Christmas. I think it can come more or less any time, but I cant find a place in the transcript where AC says it will come this year. What he did say is that he hopes there will be concrete deals to be made before the next investor call next year. I think the deals that have the biggest chance to be closed in December are found in Tunisia. I dont see why these deals need to drag out for months.
Gullit
17.11.2021 kl 22:21 11552

Men vi må få noen i havn snart. Skulle ikke AC til Kongo ??
Slettet bruker
17.11.2021 kl 15:48 11805

here $4.5 million and $6million (excluding SLK) is not included. 20% to zenith will also give zenith kr1 valuation (considering too conservatively $3 as range is $3 to $18 and 273 MMBL) if zenith gets 49% then it will be lottery.
Redigert 17.11.2021 kl 15:55 Du må logge inn for å svare