A tripling of LNG output likely to hit the shipping market

Slettet bruker
FLNG 09.01.2019 kl 07:14 60150

A predicted tripling of sanctions for global LNG projects in 2019 threatens to disrupt future shipping logistics as demand for the gas enters a more volatile phase because of a rapid increase in supply.

This is the result of a likely record year for final investment decisions (FIDs) that will ultimately deliver more than 60M tonnes of LNG per year (mta), nearly three times the 21 mta sanctioned in 2018, as the research director for Wood Mackenzie Giles Farrer forecasts. Inevitably, increased availability of LNG will influence where tankers deliver their loads.

But Wood Mackenzie also predicts shorter-term volatility in the vagaries of the weather that could affect shipping movements – “a mild end to [the 2019] winter could send more LNG into Europe and drive prices down further,” he said.

The energy consultant’s predictions come at a time of concern over the availability of LNG tankers to handle the huge extra output, particularly in the spot market because most of the fleet are locked into exclusive long-term charters. In a mid-2018 study, the International Energy Agency highlighted a possible shortfall in vessels as a threat to the security of supply, particularly in more remote regions.

The dearth of available LNG carriers is reflected in rocketing spot charter rates. In November, they shot to US$190,000 a day, five times higher than in early May.

Overall though, it appears the tanker fleet will have to adjust to changes in demand in the medium-term future. “Asian LNG demand growth will not keep pace with LNG supply and Europe – northwest Europe in particular – will have to absorb the surplus, especially during the summer,” he predicted in a release this week. “But Europe needs additional imports and flexibility, given its increased reliance on maxed-out Russian and Norwegian imports.”

It is therefore likely, he added, “there would be more LNG imports than required. And that in turn would provide competition to pipe imports and put pressure on prices,” he said. However Mr Farrer does not see the level of oversupply in 2019 that others fear.

A record number of LNG projects, as measured by volume, are due to get the green light. Wood Mackenzie sees the frontrunners in the race to hit FID in 2019 as the giant US$27Bn Arctic LNG-2 project in Russia, at least one project in Mozambique and three in America. Of the latter, Wood Mackenzie identifies three major operations as top picks – Golden Pass, Calcasieu Pass and Sabine Pass Train 6.

But that is not all. There are other projects in the pipeline in America as well as in Qatar, Papua New Guinea, Australia and Nigeria, all aiming for FID in 2019.

Wood Mackenzie sees other global influences that would inevitably determine the course of the growing LNG shipping network. “A recession would bring gas/LNG demand and oil prices down, delay FIDs and push the global LNG market back a few years,” said Mr Farrer. “But there could be a worse scenario for the gas market: a major economic downturn happening in 2020 or 2021, just after 60-100 mta of LNG has taken FID. That would wipe out our forecast price recovery post-2020 and make our forecast that prices soften a little around 2025 look a lot worse.”

Chinese demand is also less certain than it was in 2018, particularly if Beijing rethinks its headlong switch from coal to gas. In the last two years demand for LNG hovered between 40-45% growth, but that could fall to about 20%. However, as Wood Mackenzie pointed out, even if that happened China would remain by far the largest customer for LNG in the global market.

https://www.lngworldshipping.com/news/view,a-tripling-of-lng-output-likely-to-hit-the-shipping-market_56372.htm
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 08:51 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
22.03.2019 kl 13:12 5340

Virker som de kjører litt safe. Fornuftig og grei deal spør du meg. Noen som husker hvilken deal de hadde med Uniper og Total? Disse går vel ut nå ila. Q1 om jeg ikke husker feil.
Hadde ikke kjørt alle på TC da de forventer at spot havner langt over mot høsten igjen.
the-inside-man
22.03.2019 kl 13:05 5350

Burde gi en samlet cash flow etter finansielle kostnader på 14 mill $, forutsatt rater på 80 000$. Nesten så flex like så godt kunne ha leid ut hele flåten på 1 års TC. Hadde ihvertfall gitt god avkastning for investorer som kjøper seg inn på dagens kurs. Skal bli interessant å følge spotratene fremover. Skal ikke mye til før vi er tilbake på 16 kr. Tipper 14 kr innen mai forutsatt løsning på handelskonflikt
Redigert 22.03.2019 kl 13:11 Du må logge inn for å svare
really
22.03.2019 kl 11:10 5403

Interessant at de har fått med en markedsklausul. 1 års raten ligger på 73 000 nå, men det bør være et påslag for MEGI. Med tillegg om ratene går opp ser dette ut som en veldig grei avtale.
Slettet bruker
22.03.2019 kl 08:59 5473

Hamilton, Bermuda
March 22, 2019

Flex LNG LTD (Flex LNG or the Company - OSE:FLNG) today announce that it has
entered into a time-charter agreement with an international energy major (the
"Charterer"). The time charter period is firm for a period of 12 months
commencing end of first quarter 2019. The Charterer also has certain extension
options. The time charter rate is variable as a function of the overall market
conditions.

Øystein M. Kalleklev, Chief Executive Officer, commented:
"We are pleased to announce a prompt time-charter contract with a super major
for one of our vessels. This contract provides full utilization with a first
class charterer as well as exposure to the development of freight rates for
large LNG carriers which we have a positive view on."

For further information, please contact:
Øystein M. Kalleklev,
Chief Executive Officer
Flex LNG Management AS
Telephone: +47 23 11 40 00
E-Mail: IR@flexlng.com
Slettet bruker
21.03.2019 kl 14:10 5590

Spot Market (USD/Day) This week Change
East of Suez 155-165 000 cbm $25,000 $0
West of Suez 155-165 000 cbm $35,000 -$4,000
1 Year T/C 155-160 000 cbm $73,000 $0
Slettet bruker
19.03.2019 kl 16:35 5734

Det får være opp til hver og en, men gode nyheter ja.
Slettet bruker
19.03.2019 kl 16:33 5729

Alt dette ser jo veldig bra ut og da er det vel bare å akkumulere FLNG videre?
K
Slettet bruker
19.03.2019 kl 16:15 5745

RSI<50
Redigert da vi ble datafucked på slutten av dagen.
Redigert 19.03.2019 kl 16:47 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
19.03.2019 kl 15:32 5798

Seoul to slash LNG import fee, making its taxes cheaper than coal

The South Korean government will sharply ease fees for importing liquefied natural gas (LNG) in addition to the sales tax cut, making its taxes cheaper than coal to spur the migration to cleaner fuel in an effort to fight the worsening air pollution.

The Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy proposed to axe the surcharge on LNG imports to fuel power generators from the current 24.2 won ($0.02) to 3.8 won per kilogram. The revised tax code was approved by the state council and would go into effect on Apr. 1.

The move is expected to boost the use of LNG, which had so far been levied with heavier taxes than fossil fuel.

Due to its low emissions, LNG’s environmental costs are half those of bituminous coal. But its total tax levies, including special consumption tax, import surcharge and tariffs, had been 91.4 won, more than double the 36 won of bituminous coal.

The cut in LNG’s import surcharge on top of the eased special tax in July last year would bring the total levy of LNG to 23 won from the previous 91.4 won, while that of thermal coal would go up to 46 won from 36 won in line with its pollutant emissions.

The government estimated the new taxes to help reduce an annual 427 tons of ultrafine particulate matter, tiny dust particles less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter that are absorbed directly into the blood stream and are known to pose serious health risks.

LNG used in cogeneration plants, or combined heat and power plants, would enjoy full tax reimbursement as they operate at significantly higher energy efficiency, about 30 percentage points higher than traditional power plants. Personal and collective energy operators as well as fuel cell generation plants would be eligible for the tax refunds, with those of installed capacity of less than 100 megawatts to see tax cuts of 6.9 percent from Apr. 1.

Korea currently relies 40 percent of its electricity supply on coal. LNG accounts for less than 20 percent. Nuclear reactors make up 30 percent and renewable sources, like solar, wind and fuel cell, about 10 percent.

https://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2019&no=164805
Empire
17.03.2019 kl 23:06 5972

India vil iløpet av 2019 ha en terminal kapasitet på ca. 42M tonn, opp fra ca. 35M tonn 2018. Etterspørselen er forventet å vokse med ca 10% og vil dermed ende på grove 25m tonn. Terminal utilisation er dermed på grove 60%, ikke et veldig høyt tall.

Som nevnt er det innenlandsk transport som er problemet for India og det trengs mer rør for å få gassen rundt. Og det bygges, men det tar noe mer tid i India, sammenlignet med Kina.
Redigert 17.03.2019 kl 23:08 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
17.03.2019 kl 22:39 5999

Det stemmer og ser ikke på India som en av driverne i nærmeste fremtid. Derimot positivt at de endelig tar noen grep.
tapogvinn
17.03.2019 kl 22:37 6001

Problemet er at India ikke har terminaler/infrastruktur til å motta ubegrenset med gass. Dette vil ta tid å bygge ut.
Slettet bruker
17.03.2019 kl 22:32 6004

Alltid flott med upramp av import. India må ta grep om de i hele tatt bryr seg om sine innbyggere. Som nevnt er de fleste av verdens 10 mest forurensende byer i India. Folk dør som følger av luftkvaliteten.
Når det gjelder kursdobling så er ikke dette noe en kan spå med sikkerhet, men om man får en repeat av fjorårets rater så kan Flex gå en del.
I år vil, slik det ser ut nå, det være 6 LNGC'er i spot markedet i motsetning til 2. Skader heller ikke om vi ser skibsverdiene fortsette nordover som ventet.
Slettet bruker
17.03.2019 kl 21:11 6061

Ja, dette er jo flott. Så vi kan kanskje forvente kursdobling for FLNG i løpet av året?
K
Slettet bruker
17.03.2019 kl 11:16 6249

GAC handles milestone LNG carrier call in India

GAC has handled the first tanker to berth at the newly constructed Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) terminal in Kamarajar Port, Ennore, near the Indian city of Chennai. The Marshall Islands-flagged LNG carrier, LNG Golar Snow, was carrying the first consignment of 78,037m³ of LNG to enable the commissioning of the terminal.

Agency operations were overseen by Captain Srinivasan Sethumadhavan, General Manager of Shipping Services at GAC’s Chennai Office, who is optimistic about the opportunities that the new LNG terminal will generate.

“The opening of the first LNG terminal on the east coast of India is likely to change trade dynamics and drive industrial growth in this area,” he says. “Overall, the outlook for the Indian LNG market is promising.”

Currently, India imports around 45% of its total natural gas consumption. The government has invested heavily in the construction of LNG terminals and pipelines in a bid to transform the country into a gas-based economy. “This buoyant local market is expected to give rise to an increase in the number of tanker calls,” adds Sethumadhavan. “With our 26 offices serving all ports in India, GAC is ready to attend to the needs of LNG tankers.”

https://www.themaritimestandard.com/gac-handles-milestone-lng-carrier-call-in-india/
Slettet bruker
14.03.2019 kl 11:52 6470

Shipping Companies Banking on Gas Carriers as LNG Demand Grows
Operators expect bigger profits as rising global trade in liquefied natural gas, boosted by demand from Asia, fuels a booming order book for the specialized tankers.

A raft of U.S. natural gas projects coming online in the next few years are likely to boost the global fleet of seagoing tankers carrying the product by up to a third, as shipping operators jarred by sharp swings in oil markets rush to take advantage of a big new stream of business.

At around $175 million each, vessels outfitted for liquefied natural gas can cost up to four times more than other ship types. But top shipowners say they could be the vehicle for most profitable trade in shipping since crude oil tankers powered global maritime fortunes in the 1960s.

LNG business has long been a small piece of the global tanker market, but trade in natural gas is on a sharp upswing as energy producers look for cleaner sources of power to replace oil and coal. Demand has grown at a sharp rate in Asia, in particular, and output has soared in the U.S. as improved hydraulic fracturing technology has made shale drilling for both oil and gas more cost effective, which has helped reshape global energy markets.

We are moving into an era where fossil fuels will be reduced in the energy mixture, and LNG will be used extensively in the transitional period where more clean forms of energy can be developed,” said shipowner George Prokopiou. “If you are in shipping, you can’t ignore LNG.”

Mr. Prokopiou is chairman of Dynagas LNG Partners LP, which has five icebreaking LNG carriers on long-term contracts to move gas from the Yamal LNG project in the Russian arctic. He operates more than 100 ships, including crude oil supertankers and dry bulk carriers, under different companies.

The LNG market is powered by growing demand from Japan, China, India and Southeast Asia that has helped triple seaborne LNG cargoes since 2000 to 308 million metric tons last year, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance. World-wide capacity for another 170 million metric tons is expected to be added by 2030, if planned projects are completed.

Much of the anticipated growth is driven by new LNG projects in Texas, Louisiana, Maryland and Georgia that will come online by 2022. The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects the U.S. will become the No. 3 LNG exporter in the world, behind Australia and Qatar, by the end of this year.

By then, the agency says, U.S. LNG export capacity will reach 8.9 billion cubic feet a day, more than double the current capacity of 3.6 billion cubic feet.

“The energy costs in the U.S. are half of those in Europe and a third compared to the Far East,” Mr. Prokopiou said. “The financial benefits the U.S. has are tremendous, and more ships will be needed to move gas to export markets.”

Maritime operators and a beleaguered shipbuilding sector buffeted by sharp swings in various shipping markets in recent years are as anxious as the shale drillers to tap into the market.

There are now about 520 tankers capable of carrying LNG across oceans, according to David Bull, an analyst at London-based Maritime Strategies International. He expects the fleet to grow by about 28% by 2020, roughly in line with the growth in production.

South Korea’s Hyundai Heavy Industries Co. and Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering Co. , which are completing a merger agreed to last month, will be the biggest beneficiaries, as they will control 52% of existing orders with a combined order book worth $31.4 billion. Executives from both yards say LNG transport is the single bright point in an otherwise depressed shipbuilding industry.

LNG tankers cost more than oil tankers—the largest crude supertankers sell new for about $95 million—because of the technology needed to carry and control natural gas on long voyages. The gas is chilled to be condensed and then transported as liquid. Special alloys are needed for the ship’s tanks to keep the temperature at -165 degrees Celsius (-265 Fahrenheit) so the gas doesn’t evaporate.

Along with 101 ships on order, the total fleet of existing and ordered LNG tankers has a combined value of nearly $50 billion, according to marine data provider VesselsValue Ltd.

For the buyers, those orders carry risks since they target speculative business rather than existing demand.

Major producers like Houston-based Cheniere Energy Partners LP prefer to limit their exposure to volatile rate changes with long-term contracts called time charters that can stretch up to seven years. But experts expect many of the new ships to head into the short-term spot market as operators look to get the most revenue out of their expensive new vessels.

“In the past, owners ordered LNG tankers based on long-term contracts,” said Basil Karatzas, chief executive of New-York-based Karatzas Marine Advisors & Co. “Now, many shipowners prefer to trade their LNG tankers on the spot market as they see profits from the upside potential. This is unprecedented, because the ships involved are very expensive.”

Still, owners expect demand to run ahead of shipping capacity until at least 2024, paving the way for five years of healthy freight rates.

“With the new U.S. LNG plants, quite a few vessels will be required fairly quickly as there is no spare capacity out there,” Mr. Bull said. “The shift from coal and oil for power generation and heating will continue to propel Asian demand and barring a major crisis, not much can go wrong in gas trade over the next years. It’s good news for LNG vessel operators.”
delta
07.03.2019 kl 14:52 6650

Takk! Av 103 nybygg planlagt levert 2019-2021 er halvparten hver hhv. "committed" og "open". Så det virker som en betydlig andel er bestilt på "spekulasjon", Det blir vel kontraktsmuligheter for mange av dem etterhvert.
Redigert 07.03.2019 kl 14:53 Du må logge inn for å svare
delta
07.03.2019 kl 14:03 6765

Jeg har inntrykk av at det meste av nykontraheringer av LNGC skip er sluttet på lange fraktkontrakter når skipene bestilles. Noen som hvor stor andel av bestillingene nå som ikke er forankret i lange kontrakter? Grunn til å tro at spotratene i snitt i det lange løp vil følge langsiktige rater?
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
07.03.2019 kl 13:12 6817

Dette ble vel såvidt synset om i lenger oppi tråden her.

Chinese LNG goes counter-seasonal: summer shortage, winter overdose

China replaced South Korea as the world’s second-largest LNG importer in 2017, and again surprised the market in 2018 with a counter-seasonal conundrum of summer shortage and winter oversupply.

But as the energy-consuming giant of Asia continues to grow its LNG infrastructure, and industry players focus on achieving stable and reliable supply, the spot market may be exposed to fewer shocks originating from China in the future.

The trading frenzy seen in 2017 started to cool early 2018, visible in a steep backwardation structure in Asia LNG spot prices rolling from winter into spring. The day-on-day price drop was at $1.25/MMBtu, when the Platts JKM assessment rolled into the new front month of March from February on January 16, 2018, compared to a mere $0.21/MMBtu drop same day in 2019.

The Chinese were at the forefront of the market between October 2017-February 2018, procuring winter spot amid tight global supply and colder-than-expected weather in North Asia.

he irreversible part of their demand arose from a politically led coal-to-gas switch in 2017 that resulted in the replacement of coal-fired boilers in more than four million households. The additional upside volatility was attributed to several cold-snaps sweeping across the country and its neighbors, destabilizing gas flows into the massive Central-Asia pipe system that underpins China’s residential winter heating demand.

Natural gas imports from Central Asian countries were then diverted, due to a surge in their own demand amidst a colder winter, sources said. That caused a supply crunch in the Chinese market, sending shocks down to the domestic trucked LNG prices and the residential sector – an undesirable situation that the state planner NDRC would never want to repeat.

Tight summer market

While the market expected supply to loosen up stepping into spring and summer 2018, the country continued to surprise on the upside.

Maintenance works were carried out at some of the major gas pipelines, to prepare far ahead for winter 2018/19, as NDRC is under political pressure to ensure energy security for the residential sector during the heating season of mid-November to mid-March. The national oil companies (NOCs) were heard to have restricted both LNG and gas supply in the southern and eastern regions on persistent market tightness.

In summer, electricity for air-conditioning and industrial usage make up the bulk of China’s LNG demand, notably in the warmer and production-heavy southern regions. To make matters worse, a sustained oil price rally between March and October 2018 kept LNG procurement costs buoyant in the international market, as LNG term contracts were predominantly signed on an oil-linked basis.

The NOCs that did not expect a tight summer previously and refused to pay up in the spot market for additional cargoes, then had to put a cap on LNG send-outs.

Summer tightness also set high price expectations for winter. With the fear of staying short for winter, the Chinese were prompted to rush and sign up for winter strips earlier in the year.

Trade war effects filter in

Summer strength did not last long however. Once the domestic supply shocks were over, soft fundamentals in the downstream market started to pass on bearish signals.

As US-China trade tensions cast uncertainty over the economy, the government saw a rising need for economic stimulus in reviving the manufacturing sector. There were several cuts in power prices by NDRC in 2018 with the aim of cutting costs for the industrial and commercial sectors, restraining profits for transmission grid companies and major power generators.

Domestic supply glut

A downturn in the Chinese economy, led by the China-US trade war, had a gradual but profound spillover effect on LNG demand in winter 2018/19. The pace of coal-to-gas switching slowed notably, as decision-makers relaxed the pressure to replace coal-fired boilers. That was based on both a weaker economy and the fear of a severe backlash to repeat on gas shortage, like the one happened last winter.

In contrast to the previous winter, the massive crowd of smaller industrial users who wanted to buy “every molecule of available LNG in the domestic market” – as sources put it – were absent.

“There’s no way to support usage of such an expensive fuel, when the economy is cooling”, said an end-user.

Smooth and stable imported gas flows through the Central-Asia pipes, coupled with soaring gas production, also contributed to a saturated domestic market. NOCs were faced with chronic bottleneck issues due to limited regasification and storage capacity. Utilization rates were already higher year-on-year and stretching infrastructure limits, with some terminals running at or above nameplate capacity.

In the spot market, both the NOCs and independent buyers embarked on a selling spree, in an attempt to clear away unwanted yet expensive LNG, and ease their “tank-top” issues. There was talk of more than 10 cargoes floating around the Chinese terminals from end-November to early-December, with some being deferred or diverted.

Significant bearishness continued to feed in towards the end of winter, with the realization later that China would not be on the buy side in the spot market scene.

The new normal

While Chinese demand fell short of reviving the winter spot market, the country still posted an impressive year-on-year growth of 35% in LNG imports 2018, albeit lower than the 50% hike in 2017.

With a total of 51 million mt LNG imports in 2018 and the current massive expansion in LNG storage and regasification infrastructure, China is on track to overtake Japan as the world’s largest LNG buyer by 2022, reaching 73 million mt/year, as forecast by S&P Global Platts Analytics. However, as Chinese buyers rush out to sign short-term strips and long-term contracts in an attempt to fill up new regasification capacity – in the interests of energy security and supply stability – little room could be left for spot trade growth despite an overall growing pie.

In the coming years, the policy-driven growth in China’s LNG demand has now been accepted by many as the new normal, rather than a surprise factor.

https://blogs.platts.com/2019/03/06/chinese-lng-goes-counter-seasonal/?utm_source=hootsuite&utm_medium=twitter&utm_term=plattsgas&utm_content=7663d3ad-0583-4f7b-b8be-3785f9d36030&utm_campaign=
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
06.03.2019 kl 23:10 6950

Ettersom jeg har lest står det i avtalen at Kina skal kjøpe LNG fra Cheniere Energy verdt 18 mrd usd. I H2 2018, perioden hvor ratene gikk amok, ble det kun eksportert 6 laster fra USA til Kina som følger av straffetoll. I 2017 ble det eksportert ca. 3 000 000 m3 lng. Ca. 20 laster eller noe?
Vet derimot ikke når disse kjøpene skal foregå.
Kommer og muligens en ny FID på en eksportterminal i USA i de kommende måneder.
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
05.03.2019 kl 15:16 7144

Her får de bare pøse på med gass.

Pollution soars in Northern China in February: official data

SHANGHAI (Reuters) - Air pollution in 39 smog-prone northern Chinese cities soared in February, making it increasingly unlikely they will meet their annual winter air quality targets, Reuters analysis of official data showed.
People are seen in a traditional alleyway, or Hutong, on a polluted day in central Beijing, China March 2, 2019. Picture taken March 2, 2019. REUTERS/Jason Lee

China is heading into the sixth year of its “war on pollution” to try to reverse damage from over three decades of untrammeled economic growth and allay public disquiet about the state of the country’s air, soil and water.

In his annual government work report delivered to parliament on Tuesday, Premier Li Keqiang vowed that China would continue to “strengthen pollution prevention and control” this year.

However, the country has struggled to meet its targets in recent months, especially in the 39 cities in the key northern pollution control zones of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the Fenwei Plain. Average concentrations of hazardous airborne particles known as PM2.5 rose 40 percent in February to hit 108 micrograms per cubic meter in the region, analysis of official data showed.

Anyang in Henan province was again the most polluted city among the 39, with PM2.5 reaching 163 micrograms, up 60 percent from a year earlier. PM2.5 in Anyang exceeded 500 micrograms at one point during the month.

China’s official PM2.5 standard is 35 micrograms. The World Health Organization recommends an annual average of no more than 10 micrograms.

China’s Ministry of Ecology and Environment blamed “unfavorable” weather for the decline in air quality in February, saying on Sunday that “a weak El Nino effect” and a subsequent increase in temperature and humidity made it harder to disperse emissions after Feb. 19.

But, the ministry also said that Lantern Festival firework celebrations and the reopening of factories after the Lunar New Year holiday contributed to the surge.

“I’m very comfortable attributing the bad air quality in the second-half of February in part to the ongoing increase in heavy industry and coal power plant output around the region,” said Lauri Myllyvirta, air pollution analyst with environmental group Greenpeace.

According to Reuters calculations, only six of the 39 cities have experienced an overall decrease in PM2.5 concentrations over the October-February pollution control period. Average levels over the period rose 13 percent to 88 micrograms.

The cities are under pressure to make cuts of at least 3 percent year-on-year from October to March.

“Local governments that fail to achieve their targets will be held accountable - please wait and see,” ministry official Liu Bingjiang said at a briefing on the sidelines of China’s latest national session of parliament on Tuesday.

The environment ministry has been at pains to stress that China will not relent in efforts to curb pollution even as the economy slows, and it warned local governments not to blame economic problems on environmental controls.

Premier Li on Tuesday said China would cut key pollutants like sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxide by 3 percent this year. He said it would also seek “a continuous decline in PM2.5 density in key areas”, though he did not give any specific target.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-pollution/pollution-soars-in-northern-china-in-february-official-data-idUSKCN1QM0CP
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
05.03.2019 kl 15:05 7141

Kan bli greie rater fremover. Spesielt om Australia, en av verdens største eksportører, må til å importere i tillegg. Er snakk om det.
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
kodenavn
05.03.2019 kl 14:09 7192

Jeg anser det for meget sannsynlig at en handelsavtale mellom Kina og USA vil innebære forpliktelse for Kina til kjøp av LPG og LNG fra USA. Det vil medføre stor økning i tonnmil og vil gagne bl.a. FLNG, BWLPG og AVANCE
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
05.03.2019 kl 12:33 7255

Sinopec prepares to buy U.S. LNG in case government orders purchase: president

BEIJING (Reuters) - China’s Sinopec Corp will make arrangements to purchase liquefied national gas (LNG) from the United States as soon as they are ordered to do so by the government, Sinopec President Ma Yongsheng told Reuters on Tuesday.

Speaking on the sidelines of China’s annual parliament meeting, Ma also said China would likely form a national oil and gas pipeline company this year.

The state oil and gas giant plans to shift from refining to more value-added chemicals due to rising competition from private refiners, Ma said.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-sinopec/sinopec-prepares-to-buy-u-s-lng-in-case-government-orders-purchase-president-idUSKCN1QM148
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Varsom
04.03.2019 kl 14:13 7413

Ok, hvorfor det?

Jeg tror denne kommer til å vandre mellom støtte og motstand en stund fremover altså 10.50-11,80. Dette helt til vi ser noen bedre rater fremover.
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
ruda
04.03.2019 kl 14:06 7428

Tror den skal opp mot 13 innen kort tid
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Varsom
04.03.2019 kl 13:49 4985

Flex opp å prøve motstanden igjen på 11,80?
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
04.03.2019 kl 07:09 5136

Fra artikkelen i wsj:

One of the sweeteners would be an $18 billion natural-gas purchase from Cheniere Energy Inc., people familiar with the transaction said.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-china-close-in-on-trade-deal-11551641540?redirect=amp#click=https://t.co/ad6NeXjTh2
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
ruda
03.03.2019 kl 12:31 5359

Mener vi vil se et kraftig oppsving i FLEX fremover
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
really
02.03.2019 kl 17:52 5562

Det var ikke særlig ledig kapasitet i fjor høst, så om ikke kjøperne tar stor grep for å øke perioden gassen skipes inn kan høsten gi fantasirater. Utfordringen de har er begrenset lagringskapasitet.

I år trakk høye temperaturer proppen ut av markedet før vinteren kom ordentlig i gang. Det er ingen grunn til å tro at det blir slik neste vinter. Om det i tillegg blir stort forbruk av gass til oppvarming til sommeren kan vi gå et svært spennende år i møte.
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
01.03.2019 kl 23:15 5765

Det er en del ledig kapasitet nå ja som følger av fenomener vi ikke kan kontrollere. Derimot under normale forhold er det værre. Så om man tar etterspørselsveksten og sammenligner med flåteveksten, så vil man få et underskudd av skip sies det. Dette gjelder både for 2019 og 2020.
Ser frem til å se hva ratene er om Asia fremholder veksten og vi får en "normal" vinter. Men El Nino er noe som forekommer med 2-7års mellomrom ettersom jeg har lest.
Det vi kanskje kan se frem til, som Øystein sa under presentasjonen, var at høy temp om vinteren ville bære med seg utover våren og sommeren. Dette fører også til høyt energiforbruk. Mulig vi får et annet ratebilde dette året enn tidligere.
Vi får følge med videre og se. Når det gjelder om Øysteins prediksjoner er basert på tynn suppe, så kan jeg egentlig bare si at jeg ikke har kunnskap nok til å kunne motstride han. Diskuterer heller ikke mat med Hellstrøm.

God Helg
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
01.03.2019 kl 23:04 5775

Feds give Cheniere Energy green light to begin commercial operations at Corpus Christi LNG

Federal officials have given Houston liquefied natural gas company Cheniere Energy permission to put its first production unit at Corpus Christi LNG into commercial service and begin exports.

Less than a month after an inspection, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission officials issued an order Friday morning giving Cheniere permission to put an LNG production unit known as Train 1 into service — adding that the company can begin export activities.

Receiving natural gas from the Eagle Ford Shale and other sources, the Train 1 production unit is used to supercool natural gas until it becomes a liquid that can shipped on tankers around the world.

Located along the La Quinta Ship Channel in Ingleside, the $15 billion Corpus Christi LNG facility is the first liquefied natural gas export terminal to be brought into commercial service in Texas.
Construction at Corpus Christi LNG started in 2015, with Train 1 completed in November 2018. As part of a months long-startup and testing process known as commissioning, Cheniere exported two cargoes of LNG from Train 1 to Greece and the United Kingdom in December.

With the FERC order in hand, Cheniere can now begin commercial operations and regular exports at the facility.

Train 1 is just the beginning at Corpus Christi LNG. Cheniere has already begun the startup process at the facility for a second production unit there known as Train 2 while construction for a third production unit known as Train 3 continues.

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/energy/article/Feds-give-Cheniere-Energy-green-light-to-being-13655531.php
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
DiggingNorway
01.03.2019 kl 21:07 5851

Ok, så marginal økning i produksjon er høyere enn antall nybygg. Men det finnes jo ledig kapasitet i markedet fra før også, hvis ikke hadde ratene ikke gått så lavt som de har gjort.

6 skip " i manko" og avstand fra produsent til sluttbruker, blir litt tynn suppe eller? Han virker jo ganske selvsikker så det ligger vel forhåpentligvis andre vurderinger til grunn også
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
01.03.2019 kl 20:45 5863

Oeystein Moksheim Kalleklev
Chief Executive Officer at Flex LNG
23t • Redigert

This is why Flex LNG is bullish on rate development in 2019. We estimate 33mmtpa of new production (Shell assume 35mmtpa). A LNG carrier typically carries 750,000 tons of LNG p.a (10-12 cargoes) and 38 newbuildings are expected to be delivered this year. Hence to transport 33m tones you historically have required 44 ships. Already tighter. However 20m of the 33m tons will be exported from US and Yamal in Russia which are far away from end-users (3/4 consumed in Asia). Hence adjusting for this sailing distance you probably need 50-60 ships. Recently due to warm winter in Pacific, Europe have taken significantly more cargoes altering trading pattern, but once market re-balanced expect tight market again.
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
01.03.2019 kl 17:15 5970

TA: 3 bullish harami på rappen, men ingen foreløpig bekreftet. Har ikke sett det før. Totalt bipolart handelsmønster. Ellers er vi i bunnen av en lang stigende trend. Hadde muligens vært brutt på nedsiden hadde det ikke vært for innsidekjøp.
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
01.03.2019 kl 13:49 6062

GLOBAL LNG-Asian prices slide to lowest in nearly 19 months

By Jessica Jaganathan

SINGAPORE, March 1 (Reuters) - Asian spot prices for liquefied natural gas (LNG) fell to their lowest in nearly 19 months this week, pressured as buying interest remained slow and as some supply came back online.

Spot prices for April delivery to Northeast Asia LNG-AS are currently at around $6.00 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), down 20 cents from the previous week at the lowest since Aug. 4, 2017 when they hit $5.90 per mmBtu, Eikon data showed.

Spot demand from China, the world’s second-largest LNG importer, remained slow, but there were some enquiries for April cargoes, trade sources said.

“The (Lunar New Year) holidays are over and some industries are back online, but I think (demand) will be the same as usual, though it’s still difficult to say which way it will go,” said a China-based industry source.

Total shipments of the super-chilled fuel into Japan, China, South Korea and Taiwan were at about 15.94 million tonnes in February, down nearly 19 percent from the previous month, shipping data from Refinitiv Eikon showed.

While it is common for monthly import volumes to drop in February as peak-winter demand tapers off, that marked the biggest monthly decline from January to February since at least 2013, the data showed.

Chevron Corp’s Gorgon LNG export plant in Australia brought its train 3 back online after an unplanned outage, sources said earlier this week.

The train had been shut since mid-January to address a mechanical issue.

LNG loadings from Malaysia’s Bintulu export plant are also normal after a fire at the complex late last week, sources said earlier this week.

A fire broke out on the morning of Feb. 22 at a “sea cooling water outfall channel” that lies outside of the plant process area at the LNG complex, Petronas, the operator of the plant, has said.

Elsewhere, Nigeria LNG’s train 1 and 2 which were recently offline, are now back online and normal operations have resumed, NLNG’s spokesman told Reuters this week. “There was no cargo delivery loss recorded as the cargoes were rescheduled,” he added.

Russia delivered a record amount of LNG to Europe in February, becoming the biggest supplier of the chilled fuel to the continent for the first time.

In tenders and deals, traders said Mexico’s CFE is seeking two cargoes for delivery in March and another two cargoes for April into the Manzanillo terminal, while sources said Indonesia’s Bontang LNG export facility offered to sell at least two cargoes for April and May.

https://www.reuters.com/article/global-lng/global-lng-asian-prices-slide-to-lowest-in-nearly-19-months-idUSL3N20O2OD
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
28.02.2019 kl 22:29 6238

SPOT MARKET (usd/day) This week Last week Low 2019 High 2019
East of Suez 155-165'cbm 45 000 48 000 45 000 100 000
West of Suez 155-165'cbm 47 000 50 000 47 000 100 000
1 yr TC 155-165'cbm 75 000 78 000 75 000 92 500
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
28.02.2019 kl 17:27 6340

Da er det vel bare å akkumulere videre. Aksjekursen snur nok snart opp igjen.
K
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare
Slettet bruker
28.02.2019 kl 12:44 6442

Alt av shipping er ned i dag uavhengig av utsikter og inntjening. Vet ikke konkret hva som ligger bak, men tipper frykt blandet med Kinas økonomi er faktorer.
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 03:37 Du må logge inn for å svare