En tråd bare for meg for å poste tall og annet angående utviklingen av oljederivat veddemålet.

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                      Resultat i USD        Resultat i NOK
2019-Q1:         −   9 533 100         − 78 598 000
2019-Q2:         − 10 719 750         − 88 817 000
2019-Q3:         −   2 547 750         − 22 078 000
2019-Q4:         −   2 553 630
14.02.2020:     − 14 398 925   (Vistin)
14.02.2020:     − 15 262 500   (marked)

Resultatene i NOK er fra side 16 i Vistins 2019-Q1, 2019-Q2, og 2019-Q3 rapporter.

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                                                           ICE                                                                                          SING380
Des19:   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFZ19/interactive-chart   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEZ19/interactive-chart
Jan20:    https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFF20/interactive-chart   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEF20/interactive-chart
Feb20:   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFG20/interactive-chart   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEG20/interactive-chart
Mar20:   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFH20/interactive-chart   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEH20/interactive-chart
Apr20:    https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFJ20/interactive-chart   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEJ20/interactive-chart
Des20:   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFZ20/interactive-chart   https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEZ20/interactive-chart

ICE kurser, 10 minutter forsinket:
    https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LF*0/futures-prices     (Strømmes)
    https://www.theice.com/products/34361119/Low-Sulphur-Gasoil-Futures/data?marketId=1     (Statisk, oppdater med F5)
ICE sluttkurser og endringer, for alle måneder frem til Des25:
    https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/european-gasoil-ice-futures_quotes_settlements_futures.html
    https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LF*1/futures-prices
ICE produkt- og kontrakt-spesifikasjoner:
    https://www.theice.com/products/34361119/Low-Sulphur-Gasoil-Futures
    https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/european-gasoil-ice-futures_contract_specifications.html

SING380 sluttkurser og endringer, for alle måneder frem til Des20:
    https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/singapore-380cst-fuel-oil-platts-swap-futures_quotes_settlements_futures.html
    https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSE*0/futures-prices
SING380 produkt- og kontrakt-spesifikasjoner:
    https://www.theice.com/products/6753551/Fuel-Oil-380-CST-Singapore-Future
    https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/singapore-380cst-fuel-oil-platts-swap-futures_contract_specifications.html

https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/singapore-380cst-fuel-oil-platts-swap-futures_quotes_globex.html
Minimum 10 minutter forsinket

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https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEZ19/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEF20/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEG20/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEH20/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEJ20/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEZ20/price-history/latest-trades
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Siste future
handelsdag                   ICE                     SING380
Des19:                    12.12.2019             31.12.2019
Jan20:                    10.01.2020             31.01.2020
Feb20:                    12.02.2020             28.02.2020
Mar20:                    12.03.2020             31.03.2020
Apr20:                    08.04.2020             30.04.2020
Des20:                    10.12.2020             31.12.2020

ICE:     (settlement/oppgjør = T+0)
    https://www.theice.com/products/34361119/Low-Sulphur-Gasoil-Futures/expiry     (Europa)
    https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/european-gasoil-ice-futures_product_calendar_futures.html     (USA)
    Last Trading Day:  Trading shall cease at 12:00 hours London Time, 2 business days prior to the 14th calendar day of the delivery month.
        https://www.theice.com/products/34361119/Low-Sulphur-Gasoil-Futures

SING380:     (settlement/oppgjør = T+2)
    https://www.theice.com/products/6753551/Fuel-Oil-380-CST-Singapore-Future/expiry     (Europa)
    https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/singapore-380cst-fuel-oil-platts-swap-futures_product_calendar_futures.html  (USA)
    Last Trading Day:  Last Trading Day of the contract month.
        https://www.theice.com/products/6753551/Fuel-Oil-380-CST-Singapore-Future

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Linker til 3 relaterte innlegg postet på andre VISTIN tråder:
https://finansavisen.no/forum/thread/27405/view/507725
https://finansavisen.no/forum/thread/42671/view/990785
https://finansavisen.no/forum/thread/42671/view/1024652

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Inngangsverdier for oljederivat veddemålet:
Des19:     15.000 mt   á 345,10 USD/mt
Jan20:     15.000 mt   á 345,10 USD/mt
Feb20:     15.000 mt   á 345,10 USD/mt
Mar20:     15.000 mt   á 345,10 USD/mt
Apr20:     15.000 mt   á 345,10 USD/mt
Des20:     75.000 mt   á 337,00 USD/mt

Inngangverdien for hele veddemålet i USD = (345,10 + 337,00) USD/mt × 75.000 mt = USD 51.157.500

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Spreads per 31.03.2019, i følge side 16 i 2019-Q1 rapporten:
Des19:     267,15   -   345,10     =     − 77,95
Jan20:     276,32   -   345,10     =     − 68,78
Feb20:     283,40   -   345,10     =     − 61,70
Mar20:     287,03   -   345,10     =     − 58,07
Apr20:     288,26   -   345,10     =     − 56,84
Des20:     274,56   -   337,00     =     − 62,44

2019-Q1 rapportens spreads per søndag 31.03.2019 er 100% identiske med Barchart.com sine spreads per fredag 29.03.2019:
http://vxz.eu/2019-03-31__VISTIN-vs-BARCHART__Des19+Jan20+Feb20+Mar20+Apr20+Des20_siste-halvår_H

Hele veddemålets verdi per 31.03.2019:
USD (267,15 × 15.000) + (276,32 × 15.000) + (283,40 × 15.000) + (287,03 × 15.000) + (288,26 × 15.000) + (274,56 × 75.000)
= USD 41 624 400

Endring pr 31.03.2019 siden inngangen = USD 41 624 400 - 51 157 500  =  USD -  9 533 100
I følge side 16 i 2019-Q1 rapporten var endringen i NOK per 31.03.2019  =  NOK - 78 598 000
Gir USD/NOK = 8,2447     (Norges Banks offisielle kurs = 8,5972)

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Spreads per 30.06.2019, i følge side 16 i 2019-Q2 rapporten:
Des19:     270,20   -   345,10     =     − 74,90
Jan20:     276,10   -   345,10     =     − 69,00
Feb20:     278,83   -   345,10     =     − 66,27
Mar20:     279,35   -   345,10     =     − 65,75
Apr20:     278,87   -   345,10     =     − 66,23
Des20:     262,50   -   337,00     =     − 74,50

2019-Q2 rapportens spreads per søndag 30.06.2019 er 100% identiske med Barchart.com sine spreads per fredag 28.06.2019:
http://vxz.eu/2019-06-30__VISTIN-vs-BARCHART__Des19+Jan20+Feb20+Mar20+Apr20+Des20_siste-halvår_H

Hele veddemålets verdi per 30.06.2019:
USD (270,20 × 15.000) + (276,10 × 15.000) + (278,83 × 15.000) + (279,35 × 15.000) + (278,87 × 15.000) + (262,50 × 75.000)
= USD 40 437 750

Endring pr 30.06.2019 siden inngangen = USD 40 437 750 - 51 157 500  =  USD - 10 719 750
I følge side 16 i 2019-Q2 rapporten var endringen i NOK per 30.06.2019   =  NOK - 88 817 000
Gir USD/NOK = 8,2854     (Norges Banks offisielle kurs = 8,5183)

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Spreads per 30.09.2019, i følge side 16 i 2019-Q3 rapporten:
Des19:     352,80   -   345,10     =     +  7,70
Jan20:     353,03   -   345,10     =     +   7,93
Feb20:     348,73   -   345,10     =     +   3,63
Mar20:     342,24   -   345,10     =     −   2,86
Apr20:     336,00   -   345,10     =     −   9,10
Des20:     301,57   -   337,00     =     − 35,43

2019-Q3 rapportens spreads per mandag 30.09.2019 er 100% identiske med Barchart.com sine spreads per 30.06.2019:
http://vxz.eu/2019-09-30__VISTIN-vs-BARCHART__Des19+Jan20+Feb20+Mar20+Apr20+Des20_siste-halvår_H

Hele veddemålets verdi per 30.09.2019:
USD (352,80 × 15.000) + (353,03 × 15.000) + (348,73 × 15.000) + (342,24 × 15.000) + (336,00 × 15.000) + (301,57 × 75.000)
= USD 48 609 750

Endring pr 30.09.2019 siden inngangen = USD 48 609 750 - 51 157 500  =  USD -  2 547 750
I følge side 16 i 2019-Q3 rapporten var endringen i NOK per 30.09.2019  =  NOK - 22 078 000
Gir USD/NOK = 8,6657     (Norges Banks offisielle kurs = 9,0874)

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Fortsetter i neste innlegg da TS innlegget har nådd nær maksimal lengde HO tillater ...